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The national climate change targets in the Kyoto Protocol have only been defined up to 2012. As those targets represent a relatively small first step, international negotiations have recently started on what post-2012 targets or climate change regimes should look like.
The ultimate objective of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) is “to prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system”. Many stakeholders, including the EU, feel this means that the global average temperature increase should be limited to 2°C above pre-industrial levels. Consequently, global emissions need to stop growing in the next 10 to 15 years and decline well below the 1990 level by 2050. To achieve this, action is needed that goes far beyond what has so far been agreed internationally. It is commonly accepted that developed countries will need to take on a leading role in these efforts. However, successful global emission reduction also depends on the participation of as many countries as possible.
Ecofys has a long track record on the differentiation of shared targets in climate change and renewable energy regimes. This can include countries, regions, sectors, companies (ETS) or even individuals. Our experts have been involved in this topic since the 1997 EU burden sharing agreement, and are currently leading in the debates on sharing 2020 targets. In this we, combine technical and quantitative skills related to emission scenarios and reduction potential & costs with policy expertise. Our close involvement in the IPCC ensures the incorporation of the latest scientific information on climate change.
Our services include:
- Analysis of the role of various countries or sectors in future climate change regimes, including agriculture, forestry and other land uses
- Development and quantification of different burden-sharing approaches in a post-2012 regime
- Developing tools to assess the impacts of different burden-sharing options
- Design and evaluating policy options for the period post-2012, such as sectoral approaches, extended trading regimes, the link with other policy areas and targets
- Training and capacity building
- Information and communication services.
References:
- Comparing scenarios for keeping global temperature increase below 2°C - WWF
- Proposals for contributions by emerging economies to the climate regime under the UNFCCC post 2012 – German Federal Environment Agency (UBA)
- Integrating agriculture, forestry and other land use in future climate regimes -Netherlands Programme on Scientific Assessment and Policy Analysis (WAB)
- Factors underpinning future action: country fact sheets and quantification of approaches & links with renewable energy and ETS targets - UK Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (see the DEFRAwebsite)
- Sectoral proposal templates - testing sectoral targets for developing countries under a future climate change regime - World Bank Carbon Finance Unit, UK DEFRA and Dutch Ministry for the Environment, www.sectoral.org.
- Climate change post-2012 scenarios: Implications for different countries – including for the New Zealand Ministry of Economic Development, the Korea Energy Economics Institute, the Finnish Ministry for the Environment and the Italian Ministry of the Environment
- Linking national climate and sustainable development policies with the post-2012 climate regime for Brazil, China, India, South Africa, Indonesia, South Korea and Mexico - WWF International
- BASIC: Capacity building in developing countries on post 2012 negotiations - European Commission
- Establishing and maintaining an online information platform on Future international action on climate change - German Federal Environment Agency (UBA).
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